ActRankerNL
ActRanker is not an official source and has no connection with the festivals or their organisers. We announce nothing officially and everything is subject to errors. Chances are estimates, not announcements. More info
Latest update on the evening of 6 November 2026. May be temporarily behind.
Please note: ActRanker has just launched and the data is still incomplete. Not every concert or festival booking is in yet, so the points and chances are provisional.

Chance Peña

Popularity today
17
Belgium 18 · the Netherlands 17 · Worldwide 16 · on a scale of 100
Points at Pinkpop 2027
25
level C
25

Points show how well known and in demand an act is today in Belgium and the Netherlands, based on public figures such as listeners and hits. They say nothing about the quality of a show. The letter is the level by the festival's own scale. How the points work ›

Chances for 2027

Probability estimates remain estimates and are not an official announcement.

No rumours, no inside knowledge. Tap Why? for the reasons.

(Nearly) impossible
Why?
few indications of a booking yetalready booked at Pinkpop 2027, in the same country
Pinkpop 2027
Confirmed
25 points (C), now 26 of 31 acts
(Nearly) impossible
If this act plays this festival: 22 points (D), now 10 of 10 acts
Why?
few indications of a booking yetprofile fits this festival less
(Nearly) impossible
Why?
few indications of a booking yetlast European date is well before the festivalprofile fits this festival less
Figures
Spotify listeners
7.300.000
Deezer 10.432 · streams per day 909.495
Last.fm listeners
822.303
rank 2161 in Belgium · rank 1675 in the Netherlands
Instagram followers
–
Not available yet
Search interest
15
Belgium 15 · the Netherlands 32 · Worldwide 28 · rank on a scale of 100
Wikipedia, 12 months
0
EN 0 · NL 0 · FR 0

Folk & singer-songwriterfolksinger-songwriteron some dark shitamericanindie folk

Career

Line-ups
Pinkpop 2027
Active since
2024
Albums
  • When I Change My Mind I Don't Mean It 2025
  • Ever-Shifting, Continual Blossoming 2024
Concerts per year
  • 2026 36
  • 2025 44
Older concert dates are still being added, so this may be incomplete.

Stature

Discogs
  • 198 times in a collection
  • 173 on a wishlist
  • 1 uitgaven
Per album, times in a collection
  • Ever-Shifting, Continual Blossoming 2024 · 198
Biggest own venue
  • Ronda, Utrecht
  • ±2.000 plaatsen
  • 2024 (Benelux, last three years)
Older concert dates are still being added, so this may be incomplete.

Today

Radio
Since we track the station
BBC Radio 1260,2 per weeksince Nov 2023
KEXP10,0 per weeksince Nov 2023

Records

Studio albums, the highest position in the Belgian and Dutch album charts (Ultratop, Dutch Charts) with the number of weeks, gold and platinum (BEA, NVPI), and how many Discogs members own the record. Data provided by Discogs.

AlbumYearBelgian album chartDutch album chartGold/platinumDiscogs collections
When I Change My Mind I Don't Mean It2025––––
Ever-Shifting, Continual Blossoming2024–––198

Discogs: 198 times in a collection. 173 times on a wishlist.

How popular is Chance Peña compared with other countries?

Bigger in the Netherlands than you would expect.

Spain×4,5
Denmark×3,2
Zweden×2,7
Netherlands×2,0
Germany×1,9
United Kingdom×1,2
France×0,7
Italy×0,5
Belgium×0,5
Poland×0,5

Based on search volume and listeners from the various sources. Each country compared with the worldwide figure.

Upcoming concerts

Benelux first, then Europe. Alle data op Ticketmaster.

DateStadCountryZaal of festivalEvent
20/06/2027LandgraafNetherlandsMegalandPinkpop 2027 | SUNDAY
07/11/2026NottinghamUnited KingdomMotorpoint Arena NottinghamMyles Smith: My Mess, My Heart, My Life. Tour
08/11/2026LeedsUnited KingdomLeeds First Direct Bank ArenaMyles Smith: My Mess, My Heart, My Life. Tour
12/11/2026BirminghamUnited Kingdombp pulse LIVEMyles Smith: My Mess, My Heart, My Life. Tour
14/11/2026BournemouthUnited KingdomBournemouth International CentreMyles Smith: My Mess, My Heart, My Life. Tour
2 more dates

Europa (2)

DateStadCountryZaal of festivalEvent
17/11/2026DublinIerland3ArenaMyles Smith: My Mess, My Heart, My Life. Tour
20/11/2026LondonUnited KingdomThe O2Myles Smith: My Mess, My Heart, My Life. Tour

On the map, until the end of September 2027

MayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberRWPKPPPBKS7
Europeown showfestival★our festivals (green = confirmed)

The numbers follow the dates, also in the timeline above. Hover or tap a number for the date and venue.

Best-known songs (Deezer)

i am not who i was
i am not who i was
op Deezer
Sleep Deprivation
Sleep Deprivation
op Deezer
The Mountain Is You
The Mountain Is You
op Deezer

Per edition, historical

Score measured in the twelve months before each edition, place = rank in that line-up. The letter differs per festival: an A at Best Kept Secret can be a C at Rock Werchter.

EditionScoreLevelRankExceptionalBelgiumNetherlandsWorldSources
Pinkpop 202725B26 / 3135–––search volume, Google Trends, charts, setlist.fm, stature

Over the years

◆ purple = album, ▲ red = festival in Belgium, ▲ green = festival in the Netherlands, ● grey = own concert. Click the legend to switch them on or off.

Festivals and own concerts

Place among all acts on this site: 80 = viewed or searched more than 80% of the other acts that month. The thick line is the average.

Studio Brussel since August 2023, NPO 3FM and KINK since 2020, the other stations since late October 2026. "Compare countries" shows the average per station.

Songs per station, last 18 months
StationCountryMost played
KEXPUnited Statesi promise i won't let go 1

Concerts in the Benelux (ten years)

6 shows: Belgium 1, the Netherlands 5 · laatste keer: Belgium 2026, the Netherlands 2026. Bron: setlist.fm.

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